HP MoR: Dumbledore, Quirrel, Voldemort, Santa Claus, and Mr. Hat and Cloak are all the same person.

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

• gwern estimated 0% on 2012-04-07
• gwern said “crack, although Dumbledore did turn out to be santa claus” on 2012-04-07
• ahartell estimated 0% on 2012-04-09
• spqr0a1 estimated 0% on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
• DEA7TH estimated 5% and said “Dumbledore, Quirrell and Voldemort are the most powerful wizard(s) in the world, and look like they might be wearing masks.” on 2014-02-28
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.