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HP MoR: Harry's disturbed sleep is a clue to some unrevealed secret (and not just a Time-turner excuse)

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-27.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2012-04-07
  • ahartell estimated 25% on 2012-04-09
  • RobertLumley estimated 45% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 10% and said “This being true would piss me off. I’m sick and tired of the “ooh, a quiet girl? Must be an alien!” trope. on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 15% and said “I assume it counts if it was originally an excuse but is later connected to something deeper.on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 8% on 2012-04-20
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • Oscar_Cunningham said “I don’t know how to judge this one.on 2015-03-26
  • JoshuaZ said “Judge right. It wasn’t an excuse for a time turner in the sense that was intended in it being an excuse for the author to give Harry a time turner. Any objection if I mark it right? on 2015-03-26
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-27.

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