HP MoR: Harry's disturbed sleep is a clue to some unrevealed secret (and not just a Time-turner excuse)

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-27.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-04-07
• ahartell estimated 25% on 2012-04-09
• RobertLumley estimated 45% on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav estimated 10% and said “This being true would piss me off. I’m sick and tired of the “ooh, a quiet girl? Must be an alien!” trope. ” on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 15% and said “I assume it counts if it was originally an excuse but is later connected to something deeper.” on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 8% on 2012-04-20
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Oscar_Cunningham said “I don’t know how to judge this one.” on 2015-03-26
• JoshuaZ said “Judge right. It wasn’t an excuse for a time turner in the sense that was intended in it being an excuse for the author to give Harry a time turner. Any objection if I mark it right? ” on 2015-03-26
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-27.