HP MoR: Harry will create a superintelligent AI using magic or magical objects, and it won't be Friendly, killing many/all
Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.
- gwern estimated 12% on 2012-04-07
- gwern on 2012-04-07
- ahartell estimated 5% on 2012-04-09
- Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 4% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 2% on 2012-09-17
- ChristianKl estimated 65% on 2013-10-29
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.