HP MoR: Harry will bite a teacher
Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.
- gwern estimated 30% on 2012-04-07
- ahartell estimated 25% on 2012-04-09
- ahartell estimated 20% on 2012-04-09
- spqr0a1 estimated 5% on 2012-04-09
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% and said “We’ve done that joke.” on 2012-04-20
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% on 2012-09-17
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- Oscar_Cunningham judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.