HP MoR: Harry will bite a teacher who bite him first
Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.
- gwern estimated 20% on 2012-04-07
- ahartell estimated 25% on 2012-04-09
- ahartell estimated 15% on 2012-04-09
- quicklystarfish estimated 3% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 37% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% and said “Unless we get a Twilight crossover.” on 2012-04-20
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 27% on 2012-09-17
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- gwern estimated 10% and said “I’m thinking any biting will be metaphorical: killing Quirrel, that sort of thing” on 2015-01-01
- Oscar_Cunningham judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.