HP MoR: Harry will bite a teacher who bite him first

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2012-04-07
  • ahartell estimated 25% on 2012-04-09
  • ahartell estimated 15% on 2012-04-09
  • quicklystarfish estimated 3% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 37% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% and said “Unless we get a Twilight crossover.on 2012-04-20
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 27% on 2012-09-17
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • gwern estimated 10% and said “I’m thinking any biting will be metaphorical: killing Quirrel, that sort of thingon 2015-01-01
  • Oscar_Cunningham  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.

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