HP MoR: Harry will bite a teacher who bite him first and is Quirrel

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2012-04-07
• ahartell estimated 10% on 2012-04-09
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 20% on 2012-09-17
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.