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HP MoR: Quirrel believes that Harry's stone is the Resurrection Stone

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2015-02-24.

  • gwern estimated 75% on 2012-04-07
  • gwern said “he seemed awfully in a hurry, and has been pointed out, it dovetails beautifully with the comment about great wizards drawing connections with things seen only onceon 2012-04-07
  • ahartell said “When did he see Harry’s stone?on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 15% and said “Hmm? It sounded like he went off to retrieve Marvolo’s ring.on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 20% on 2012-04-20
  • Sarokrae estimated 15% on 2012-04-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 5% and said “Per Anubhav. on 2012-04-29
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • Anubhav   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-02-24.
  • Anubhav said “Yep, Marvolo’s ring turned out to have the Resurrection Stone. on 2015-02-24

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