HP MoR: Quirrel is the fused personality of Voldemort + original Quirrel

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-04-07
• Anubhav estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 10% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 5% and said “I’m predicting against a merge of personalities, not against a time-share of the body.” on 2012-04-20
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.