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HP MoR: Quirrel is Harry from the future

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2012-04-07
  • ahartell estimated 1% on 2012-04-09
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.