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HP MoR: Quirrel's zombie-mode is about spending time at the Pioneer probe perspective

Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2016-01-07.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2012-04-07
  • gwern said “casting the spell seems to exhaust himon 2012-04-07
  • Anubhav estimated 10% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% on 2012-04-20
  • DEA7TH estimated 3% on 2014-02-28
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-07.