HP MoR: Quirrel's zombie-mode is about spending time at the Pioneer probe perspective
Created by gwern on 2012-04-07; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2016-01-07.
- gwern estimated 20% on 2012-04-07
- gwern said “casting the spell seems to exhaust him” on 2012-04-07
- Anubhav estimated 10% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 2% on 2012-04-20
- DEA7TH estimated 3% on 2014-02-28
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- Oscar_Cunningham judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-07.