HP MoR: The rock Dumbledore gave Harry is or contains a real Philosopher's Stone
Created by gwern on 2012-04-08; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.
- gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-08
- gwern on 2012-04-08
- ahartell estimated 20% on 2012-04-09
- Anubhav estimated 60% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 15% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 5% on 2012-04-20
- DEA7TH estimated 5% and said “Not a good way to hide a dangerous weapon.” on 2014-02-28
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.