HP MoR: The rock Dumbledore gave Harry is or contains James Potter
Created by gwern on 2012-04-08; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2016-01-01.
- gwern estimated 0% on 2012-04-08
- Michael Stevens estimated 5% on 2012-04-08
- ahartell estimated 0% on 2012-04-09
- Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
- Grognor estimated 3% on 2012-04-18
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 2% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
- Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% on 2012-04-27
- ChristianKl estimated 0% on 2013-10-29
- PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2013-11-01
- DEA7TH estimated 1% on 2014-02-28
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.