HP MoR: Harry is a Horcrux and Voldemort knows this

Created by gwern on 2012-04-08; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by Anubhav on 2015-02-24.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2012-04-08
• Michael Stevens estimated 75% on 2012-04-08
• ahartell estimated 70% on 2012-04-09
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 55% and said “If Voldemort has fractured into multiple people in some way, this is my estimate that the instance that is Quirrel or otherwise is most active in the world knows.” on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 60% on 2012-04-20
• Anubhav   judged this prediction right on 2015-02-24.