HP MoR: Lucius Malfoy believes Harry to be Voldemort as of ch83
Created by gwern on 2012-04-08; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by PlacidPlatypus on 2015-03-20.
- gwern estimated 95% on 2012-04-08
- gwern said “this was a harder prediction before the last 10 chapters or so…” on 2012-04-08
- ahartell estimated 95% on 2012-04-09
- RobertLumley said “At what point in time is this going to be evaluated? It’s possible Lucius would change his mind over the course of the story.” on 2012-04-09
- gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: Lucius Malfoy believes Harry to be Voldemort” on 2012-04-09
- Anubhav estimated 95% on 2012-04-10
- PotatoDumplings estimated 95% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 90% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 85% on 2012-04-20
- DEA7TH said “I think this can be judged correct?” on 2014-02-28
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction right on 2015-03-20.
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