HP MoR: Cloak & Hat is Severus Snape

Created by gwern on 2012-04-08; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2015-03-20.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2012-04-08
• ahartell estimated 10% on 2012-04-09
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 20% on 2012-04-19
• disinter estimated 40% on 2012-04-20
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 20% on 2012-04-20
• Flailingjunk estimated 60% on 2012-04-23
• Flailingjunk estimated 80% on 2012-09-21
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-20.