HP MoR: Cloak & Hat is Leroy Lockhart
Created by gwern on 2012-04-08; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2015-03-20.
- gwern estimated 0% on 2012-04-08
- ahartell estimated 0% on 2012-04-09
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 0% and said “0.5%, assuming we mean Guilderoy” on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 0% on 2012-04-20
- dpchalmers estimated 0% on 2014-11-29
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-20.