HP MoR: Peter Pettigrew is dead

Created by gwern on 2012-04-09; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2015-03-20.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2012-04-09
• gwern said “I remain troubled by the prisoner in Azkaban chanting ’I’m not serious’.” on 2012-04-09
• lavalamp estimated 55% on 2012-04-10
• PotatoDumplings estimated 0% on 2012-04-10
• LauralH estimated 25% on 2012-04-11
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 55% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 40% on 2012-04-20
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-20.