HP MoR: Gilderoy Lockhart will be (conditional on appearance) competent and conceited
- gwern estimated 60% on 2012-04-09
- gwern on 2012-04-09
- gwern said “everyone is powered up?” on 2012-04-09
- drethelin estimated 90% and said “I can’t imagine him being a total buffoon, though maybe he’ll play one. ” on 2012-04-09
- Anubhav estimated 50% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 60% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham said “Competent at magic, or just at publicity?” on 2012-04-20
- Afforess judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-17.
- Afforess said “Never appeared in HPMoR” on 2015-08-17
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction unknown on 2015-08-17.
- JoshuaZ said “Conditional on appearance is in prediction so prediction should be either kept as unknown or withdrawn. ” on 2015-08-17
- Afforess said “If it is conditional, then the condition was not satisfied, and this is wrong.” on 2015-08-17
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