We'll have another dot-com boom by 2016 (NASDAQ reaching 5k)

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-04-10; known on 2016-12-31; judged right by RandomThinker on 2015-03-06.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-04-10
• RandomThinker on 2012-04-10
• gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-26
• RandomThinker said “@gwern thanks! I bet we have a lot of techies on here, lots of people should have an opinion on this. ” on 2012-04-27
• RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “Facebook killed the chance. Dead!” on 2012-05-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2012-05-29
• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-05-20
• RandomThinker said “I overreacted to the Facebook debacle. There’s still a chance for this.” on 2013-05-20
• Tuxedage estimated 50% on 2013-05-21
• RandomThinker said “NASDAQ almost 4k now. Was 3k when the prediction was made.” on 2013-10-22
• RandomThinker said “20% in 2 years is very doable” on 2013-10-22
• RandomThinker said “4150 now. Still no bites?” on 2014-01-08
• Ben Doherty estimated 55% on 2014-01-09
• RandomThinker estimated 68% and said “4485, almost 4500 now. 10% in 1.5 years.” on 2014-07-03
• rebellionkid estimated 70% on 2014-09-21
• RandomThinker said “NASDAQ at 4787 now. Plus Uber at 40billion. The bubble has returned! Hallelujah!” on 2014-11-26
• RandomThinker said “One year to get in your bubble activities, before it’s over” on 2014-11-26
• sweeneyrod said “Shouldn’t this be due in 2016, rather than 2106?” on 2014-11-27
• RandomThinker said “good point @sweeneyrod” on 2014-11-27
• RandomThinker said “It was 4806 late Dec 2014. This almost came true a year early.” on 2015-01-21
• RandomThinker said “4961 now.” on 2015-02-24
• RandomThinker said “Happened. First time in 15 years, just on time! http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/06/business/a-changed-nasdaq-makes-the-long-climb-back-to-5000.html” on 2015-03-06
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-06.
• JoshuaZ said “Ok. I really called that one wrong. ” on 2015-03-06
• PseudonymousUser said “Well done.” on 2015-11-27