HP MoR: The constant glitch in the Marauder's Map is Quirrel appearing under another name (eg. 'Tom Riddle')

Created by gwern on 2012-04-11; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by Unknowns on 2015-03-27.

• gwern estimated 35% on 2012-04-11
• gwern said “this excludes appearing as ‘the defense professor’ or variations thereof http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6533” on 2012-04-11
• gwern changed their prediction from “HP MoR: The glitch in the Marauder's Map is Quirrel appearing under another name (eg. 'Tom Riddle')” on 2012-04-11
• tadrinth estimated 80% and said “The constant glitch is that Quirrell appears as BOTH Quirrell and as Tom Riddle (they’re both listed on top of each other). ” on 2012-04-12
• gwern said “he was never identified to the wards as quirrel, though” on 2012-04-12
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 50% and said “The twins wouldn’t recognise the name, and it would give a reason for Quirrell to be arrested while Dumbledore grepped the map.” on 2012-04-20
• gimpf estimated 25% on 2012-05-05
• Oscar_Cunningham said “Right or Wrong? The glitch turned out to be both Harry and Quirrel appearing as “Tom Riddle”” on 2015-03-26
• JoshuaZ said “Hard to say, since this wasn’t the entire glitch. I’d suggest wrong. ” on 2015-03-26
• Unknowns   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-27.
• Unknowns said “Eliezer explained it himself. The constant glitch is Harry appearing as Tom Riddle. Quirrel’s glitch is intermittent because he sometimes appears as Quirrel (when Voldemort’s spirit is doing something else.)” on 2015-03-27