Some group in Pakistan has already developed a super-intelligence (as of 2009).

Created by mjgeddes on 2009-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Grognor on 2014-08-20.

• mjgeddes estimated 1% on 2009-10-19
• Jack estimated 0% on 2009-10-19
• Tobias_M   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-19.
• Jack   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-19.
• Arenamontanus estimated 1% on 2009-10-19
• anonym estimated 1% on 2009-10-20
• archgoon   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-20.
• freyley   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-09-28
• Larks estimated 0% on 2010-09-29
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 9% on 2012-04-29
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% and said “damn typo” on 2012-04-29
• clemux estimated 0% on 2014-06-26
• Grognor   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-08-20.