In my Wikipedia experiment, >=90% of the links will be restored.
Created by gwern on 2012-04-15; known on 2012-06-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-30.
- gwern estimated 5% on 2012-04-15
- gwern said “n=100, being removed by an anon 5 a day, measurement will take place a month after reaching #100” on 2012-04-15
- papermachine estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
- gwern said “3% were restored” on 2012-05-30
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-05-30.