In my Wikipedia experiment, >=90% of the links will be restored.

Created by gwern on 2012-04-15; known on 2012-06-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-30.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2012-04-15
  • gwern said “n=100, being removed by an anon 5 a day, measurement will take place a month after reaching #100on 2012-04-15
  • papermachine estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
  • gwern said “3% were restoredon 2012-05-30
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-05-30.

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