papermachine will buy Grognor a monocle on or by December 7, 2012

Created by Grognor on 2012-04-18; known on 2012-12-08; judged wrong by Grognor on 2012-12-09.

• Grognor estimated 22% on 2012-04-18
• gwern estimated 15% on 2012-04-18
• papermachine said “You might as well mark this one zero, folks: I can’t get an honest mailing address out of him.” on 2012-04-18
• Grognor said “the casual observer will note that papermachine is attempting to make me look dishonest – dishonestly.)” on 2012-04-19
• papermachine said “Am I lying about you not giving me a mailing address when I asked for one?” on 2012-04-24
• Grognor said “>:[” on 2012-05-02
• Grognor   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-09.