HP MoR: Rita Skeeter was hoaxed into publishing the article by Fred & George Weasley, and Gilderoy Lockhart gave false memories via Memory Charm to Rita Skeeter

Created by gwern on 2012-04-19; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by Afforess on 2015-08-17.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 10% on 2012-04-20
  • lavalamp estimated 5% and said “In canon, Lockhart was a memory charm expert in secret. No one knew.on 2012-04-20
  • beo_shaffer estimated 10% on 2012-04-21
  • Oscar_Cunningham said “We don’t learn the answer to this.on 2015-03-26
  • Afforess   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-17.

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