Some modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes.

Created by Jennifer on 2009-10-19; known on 2025-01-12

  • Jennifer estimated 0% on 2009-10-19
  • Jennifer changed their prediction from “Certain operational modes of the Large Hadron Supercollider will never actually be reached due to “coincidence”, and by 2025 the scientific community will take seriously enough (read: will debate or describe in a peer reviewed physics journal with greater” on 2009-10-19
  • Jennifer estimated 1% and said “My original estimate was not 0%, but was sufficiently close to be rounded by the website’s software.on 2009-10-19
  • freyley estimated 99% on 2009-10-20
  • anonym estimated 2% on 2009-10-20
  • Arenamontanus estimated 25% and said “Getting an AP paper into a good journal is relatively easy; it is the lack of the modes that is the unlikely thing.on 2009-10-20
  • faws estimated 4% on 2009-10-22
  • Pavitra estimated 1% and said “If the AP blocks some LHC modes, it will likely look like a low-level force rather than a high-level coincidence. That’s how science has worked so far.on 2009-10-23
  • Pavitra said “For example, see how coincidentally/conveniently physical law preserves principles like conservation of energy and lightspeed bounds on communication.on 2009-10-23
  • gwern estimated 1% on 2010-10-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-05-24
  • Anubhav estimated 1% on 2011-10-12
  • themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-06
  • JoshuaZ said “themusicgod1, can you explain why you give this such a high probability? So far, the LHC hasn’t shown any signs of specific modes being unreachable. on 2016-10-06
  • pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-11-25
  • Baeboo estimated 2% on 2018-11-26
  • pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-01-15
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-11-20

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