There will be a public option in the upcoming health reform
- freyley estimated 65% on 2009-10-19
- jes5199 estimated 40% and said “I’m in favor of it, but I just don’t believe it will happen.” on 2009-10-19
- jshiga estimated 15% on 2009-10-19
- freyley said “i’d like an interface so that I could revise my bet now, and find out how my prediction ability does with respect to how far away it is.” on 2009-10-30
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2010-07-29.
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