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Michael Green did not have any explosives on him.

Created by RobFisher on 2012-04-27; known on 2012-05-02; judged right by gwern on 2012-08-28.

  • RobFisher estimated 90% on 2012-04-27
  • Selector_3 said “They are saying “He turned up, strapped up with gasoline cylinders, and threatened to blow up the office.”Are gasoline cylinders considered explosives?on 2012-04-29
  • gwern said “http://www.camdennewjournal.com/news/2012/jul/tottenham-court-road-bomb-hoaxer-jailed-six-years describes it as a ‘hoaxer’ and ‘fake bomb’, so marking right.on 2012-08-28
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-08-28.
  • RobFisher said “I made this prediction very soon after the story broke. It smelled to me as if news reports were exaggerating the seriousness of the incident and I wanted to test my sense of smell. Since there was no bomb I’ll mark it right.on 2012-09-17