Rutaesomn will offer to send me some free pills.

Created by gwern on 2012-05-10; known on 2012-06-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-10.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2012-05-10
• gwern said “after posting http://www.reddit.com/r/Nootropics/comments/tc604/anyone_try_this_yet_anticaffeine_pill_is_what/c4miooz it occurred to me that it could be seen as an opening to offer me some to test on my own.” on 2012-05-10
• gwern said “previous instances: zeo send me some free replacement headbands; ThinkGum sent me 24 free pieces of gum” on 2012-05-10
• beo_shaffer estimated 9% on 2012-05-12
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-06-10.