Russia will not have established moon bases by 2032

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-25; known on 2032-01-01

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-05-25
• RandomThinker said “Popovkin, head of Roscosmos, says they will. Here’s saying they won’t (int’l efforts do not count). http://blogs.nature.com/news/2012/05/russia-japan-aim-for-the-moon.html” on 2012-05-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2012-05-25
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 75% on 2012-05-25
• JoeK estimated 65% on 2012-05-25
• gwern estimated 80% and said “more cyrillic bombast. Russia’s not going anywhere anytime soon.” on 2012-05-27
• Jayson Virissimo said “Does “Russia” mean the national government or do private corporations count?” on 2012-05-28
• RandomThinker said “I was thinking government, since Popovkin says they will. Not Elon Musk.” on 2012-05-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2012-05-29
• Ben Doherty estimated 70% on 2012-05-30
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2012-06-03
• army1987 estimated 80% on 2012-06-05
• davidiach estimated 80% on 2012-06-06
• Tuxedage estimated 30% on 2012-06-10
• Tuxedage estimated 30% on 2012-06-10
• saturn estimated 80% on 2012-09-21
• Pablo estimated 80% on 2012-10-02
• seifip estimated 80% on 2013-04-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 85% on 2018-12-10
• Baeboo estimated 85% on 2018-12-12
• n99 estimated 94% on 2022-10-28