Tentative announcements of the discovery of intelligent life in other solar systems will appear in peer reviewed journals by 2020.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-05-25; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-01.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 70% on 2012-05-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% and said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/577 relevant. See also predictions 2803, 1894, 5744, 1685, 3010, 3011, 3012. ” on 2012-05-25
• JoshuaZ said “70 percent seems way too high. ” on 2012-05-25
• RandomThinker estimated 2% on 2012-05-26
• themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2016-10-08
• themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2016-10-10
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.