There will be strong evidence of technologically advanced (contemporary human level or greater) extraterrestrial life by 2016. ETA: evidence of a technologically advanced civilization existing or having existed somewhere outside our solar system.
Created by anonym 10 months ago; known in over 5 years; judged unknown by ledflyd 9 months ago.
- anonym estimated 92% against 10 months ago
- ChristianKl estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- jasticE estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- Larks estimated 99% 10 months ago
- anonym changed their prediction from “There will be strong evidence of technologically advanced (contemporary human level or greater) extraterrestrial life by 2016.” 10 months ago
- anonym estimated 96% against 10 months ago
- othercriteria estimated 90% against 10 months ago
- PotatoDumplings estimated 100% against 10 months ago
- freyley estimated 95% against 10 months ago
- Vladimir_Golovin judged this prediction wrong 10 months ago.
- Vladimir_Golovin judged this prediction unknown 10 months ago.
- Vladimir_Golovin judged this prediction wrong 10 months ago.
- Vladimir_Golovin judged this prediction unknown 10 months ago.
- Vladimir_Golovin said “(Sorry for multiple edits — I’m trying to figure out how this thing works.)” 10 months ago
- NieAlane estimated 95% against 10 months ago
- anonym said “@Vladimir_Golovin: FYI: to enter a probability estimate, you click the “My 2 cents” button, not a judgement button.” 10 months ago
- mjgeddes estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- Jack estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- VoiceOfAuthority estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- jes5199 estimated 90% against 10 months ago
- taiyo estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- Chance estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- alpha-mouse estimated 95% against and said “why are you all so sure?” 10 months ago
- alpha-mouse said “oh. I didn’t notice ‘against’ word, sorry.” 10 months ago
- faws estimated 97% against 10 months ago
- im estimated 99% against 10 months ago
- mtaran estimated 95% against 10 months ago
- lispozord estimated 88% against 10 months ago
- NineteenHalves estimated 95% against 10 months ago
- skaye judged this prediction wrong 10 months ago.
- skaye judged this prediction unknown 10 months ago.
- skaye estimated 98% against 10 months ago
- evtujo judged this prediction wrong 9 months ago.
- Jack judged this prediction unknown 9 months ago.
- ledflyd judged this prediction wrong 9 months ago.
- ledflyd judged this prediction unknown 9 months ago.
- ledflyd estimated 95% against and said “very doubtful” 9 months ago
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