Mubarak will have passed away by mid 2013

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-06-07; known on 2013-06-01; judged wrong by holycow81 on 2013-06-09.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-06-07
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 65% on 2012-06-07
• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-06-07
• chimpsky estimated 18% on 2012-06-07
• JoshuaZ said “Passed away isn’t often used for violent deaths? Does this mean to only include natural causes? ” on 2012-06-08
• Emanuel Rylke said “I assumed any cause.” on 2012-06-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2012-06-08
• RandomThinker said “Any cause. I was just trying to not be too brusque about predicting a guy’s death.” on 2012-06-08
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% on 2012-06-11
• Tuxedage estimated 40% on 2013-02-07
• holycow81 estimated 4% on 2013-05-27
• holycow81   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-06-09.