kalla724 will write a technical post debunking cryonics

Created by gwern on 2012-06-09; known on 2013-06-09; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.

gwern estimated 50% on 2012-06-09
gwern said “User: http://lesswrong.com/user/kalla724/ Promise in http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/8f4/neil_degrasse_tyson_on_cryonics/6krm” on 2012-06-09
Jayson Virissimo said ““Debunk” sounds like a success term. Will this be judged true in the event that kalla724 attempts to debunk cryonics or only if he succeeds at debunking cryonics?” on 2012-06-10
muflax estimated 25% and said “OP will surely deliver. (>10% because kalla wrote a detailed post before.)” on 2012-06-12
JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2012-06-12
PseudonymousUser estimated 35% on 2012-08-12
gwern said “Nothing: http://lesswrong.com/user/kalla724/submitted/” on 2013-07-01
gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-01.
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