Will Newsome will publicly endorse http://www.timecube.com/ as the most accurate website ever made.

Created by Grognor on 2012-06-11; known on 2018-06-16; judged wrong by muflax on 2017-08-19.

• Grognor estimated 12% on 2012-06-11
• gwern estimated 10% and said “he might endorse it for the lulz” on 2012-06-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “This isn’t zero essentially due to what gwern points out. ” on 2012-06-11
• muflax estimated 0% and said “Nah. Fully endorsing Non-Oneism is too basilisk-y, even if Gene has some good points and can be read pseudo-trinitarian. (I’d give >30% odds of him agreeing a lot with Gene when asked in the right way, though.)” on 2012-06-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 14% on 2012-06-12
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2012-06-13
• CarlShulman said “This event is too responsive to the predictions.” on 2012-06-13
• Jayson Virissimo said “Too responsive to what? You just have to consider the probability he will see this and act on it in addition to the probability he agrees with timecube, etc…” on 2012-06-14
• drethelin estimated 30% and said “What Gwern said, but I’m more confident” on 2012-06-18
• wallowinmaya estimated 10% on 2012-07-05
• Will Newsome estimated 0% on 2012-09-05
• Will Newsome said ““The most accurate website ever made” and “endorse” are really slippery terms.” on 2012-09-05
• Tuxedage estimated 1% on 2012-12-30
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-05-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-10
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-08-19.