The Republican Candidate for President will win Arizona in 2012.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-13; known on 2012-12-01; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2012-06-13
• chimpsky estimated 90% on 2012-06-13
• gwern estimated 60% on 2012-09-24
• Qiaochu estimated 96% and said “96.5% on FiveThirtyEight. ” on 2012-10-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2012-10-15
• RandomThinker estimated 75% on 2012-10-15
• Sarokrae estimated 85% on 2012-11-05
• RandomThinker said “Romney won AZ by 12%. http://www.cbsnews.com/election-results-2012/state.shtml?state=AZ&tag=contentMain;contentBody” on 2012-11-07
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.