Ben: In 2022, in the US, >50% of the top 5% of citizens by income who use computers will not be using a mouse / keyboard.

Created by Porejide on 2012-07-09; known on 2023-01-01

• Porejide estimated 40% on 2012-07-09
• Porejide said “it’s possible that they’ll be interacting with their hands in 3d, but there are other possibilities and this prediction is agnostic on them” on 2012-07-09
• bencasnocha estimated 65% and said “I’d say will not PRIMARILY be using a mouse / keyboard. I think those two technologies will still exist in 10 years.” on 2012-07-09
• RandomThinker said “Does computers include iPads? how would you measure 50% then? if ipad unit sale > PC unit sale, then would this be true by definition?” on 2012-07-09
• gwern said “and what about things like iphone? do virtual keyboards count?” on 2012-07-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 63% and said “Computers definitely include ipads. ” on 2016-10-10