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Ben: In 2022, in the US, >50% of the top 5% of citizens by income who use computers will not be using a mouse / keyboard.

Created by Porejide on 2012-07-09; known on 2023-01-01

  • Porejide estimated 40% on 2012-07-09
  • Porejide said “it’s possible that they’ll be interacting with their hands in 3d, but there are other possibilities and this prediction is agnostic on themon 2012-07-09
  • bencasnocha estimated 65% and said “I’d say will not PRIMARILY be using a mouse / keyboard. I think those two technologies will still exist in 10 years.on 2012-07-09
  • RandomThinker said “Does computers include iPads? how would you measure 50% then? if ipad unit sale > PC unit sale, then would this be true by definition?on 2012-07-09
  • gwern said “and what about things like iphone? do virtual keyboards count?on 2012-07-24
  • themusicgod1 estimated 63% and said “Computers definitely include ipads. on 2016-10-10