August 2013 hard drive prices: 37-43 GB/$

Created by gwern on 2012-08-23; known on 2013-08-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-08-28.

  • gwern estimated 65% on 2012-08-23
  • gwern said “judged by top entry in http://forre.st/storage#sataon 2012-08-23
  • gwern said “current August 2012 price: 20GB/$on 2012-08-23
  • gwern said “background: http://www.gwern.net/Slowing%20Moore%27s%20Law#kryders-lawon 2012-08-23
  • RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “why such a big diff from Mar 2013?on 2012-08-23
  • gwern changed their prediction from “August 2013 hard drive prices: 53-67 GB/$” on 2012-08-23
  • gwern said “RandomThinker: whups, I see that I messed up my calculation of quarters! I’ve fixed this and the other prediction, so you might want to revise your own.on 2012-08-23
  • RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2012-08-24
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2012-09-04
  • Tuxedage estimated 38% on 2013-01-15
  • Malgidus estimated 45% on 2013-03-27
  • gwern said “currently the top entry is $129 for 3tb or 3000gb; 3000/129=23.25; way offon 2013-08-28
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-08-28.

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