China will be the biggest smartphone app market by beginning of 2013

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-28; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2013-06-15.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-08-28
• RandomThinker said “Going by Flurry data. Flurry says US @ 165m and China @ 128m as of July 2012.” on 2012-08-28
• gwern estimated 55% on 2012-08-28
• faws said “Biggest smartphone app market measured by aggregate revenue, number of sales, or market with the most active smartphones? ” on 2012-08-29
• RandomThinker said “measured by Flurry’s count of active devices. sorry didn’t include the link first time. http://blog.flurry.com/bid/88867/iOS-and-Android-Adoption-Explodes-Internationally” on 2012-08-30
• RandomThinker said “Wow this one is really close. http://blog.flurry.com/bid/94352/China-Knocks-Off-U-S-to-Become-World-s-Top-Smart-Device-Market” on 2013-06-15
• RandomThinker said ““Reviewing the chart shows that China and the U.S. had roughly the same active smart device installed base in January 2013, 222 million in the U.S. versus 221 million in China.”” on 2013-06-15
• RandomThinker said “I guess technically it’s wrong, should have been a little loser.” on 2013-06-15
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-06-15.