Hillary will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2016

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-28; known on 2016-07-01; judged right by elephantower on 2016-07-09.

• RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2012-08-28
• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-08-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2012-08-29
• gwern estimated 18% on 2012-09-08
• themusicgod1 estimated 63% on 2016-04-14
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 59% on 2016-06-03
• elephantower estimated 99% on 2016-07-04
• elephantower   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-09.