User Epiphany will cease commenting or posting on LW within a month

Created by gwern on 2012-09-03; known on 2012-10-03; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-10-03.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2012-09-03
• gwern said “per shminux” on 2012-09-03
• gwern said “see http://lesswrong.com/user/Epiphany/” on 2012-09-03
• lukeprog estimated 5% on 2012-09-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2012-09-04
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 10% on 2012-09-04
• saturn said “How long of a gap in posting counts as “ceased”?” on 2012-09-18
• gwern said “I don’t think it really matters since she’s still commenting. I think shminux was thinking, posting ever – so any comments or posts on or after the deadline work for me” on 2012-09-18
• graehl estimated 2% on 2012-09-22
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-03.