My LSD order will arrive within 2 weeks.
Created by gwern on 2012-09-05; known on 2012-09-20; judged right by gwern on 2012-09-19.
- gwern estimated 70% on 2012-09-05
- gwern made the prediction on 2012-09-05
- gwern said “barely made it” on 2012-09-19
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2012-09-19.
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-09-19” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16
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