My LSD order will arrive within 2 weeks.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-05; known on 2012-09-20; judged right by gwern on 2012-09-19.

  • gwern estimated 70% on 2012-09-05
  • gwern made the prediction on 2012-09-05
  • gwern said “barely made iton 2012-09-19
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-09-19.
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-09-19” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

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