Hillary Clinton will run for president and be nominated by the Democrats in 2016.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-07; known on 2016-09-30; judged right by Dapple on 2016-09-03.

• gwern estimated 18% on 2012-09-07
• RandomThinker said “@gwern I had a similar prediction, which you said 30% on :) predictionbook.com/predictions/7988” on 2012-09-08
• gwern said “strange, I did check in Google for existing Hillary 2016 predictions since I thought there would be some. oh well.” on 2012-09-08
• William-Quixote estimated 17% on 2012-09-08
• drethelin estimated 25% on 2012-09-09
• alecbrooks estimated 15% on 2013-01-31
• najdorf estimated 51% on 2013-02-06
• najdorf estimated 100% on 2013-11-11
• najdorf estimated 20% on 2013-11-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 97% on 2016-07-21
• Dapple   judged this prediction right on 2016-09-03.