Kate Evans (@aristosophy) will be revealed to be the blogger Sister Y, from The View from Hell

Created by Filipe on 2012-09-07; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by Filipe on 2012-09-09.

• Filipe estimated 50% on 2012-09-07
• gwern estimated 40% and said “worried we may be privileging the hypothesis here – there must be at least dozens of women who read LW regularly, why is Sister Y one of the two most probable candidates if not the most probable candidates?” on 2012-09-07
• Filipe said “I can’t find her blog anymore, but her mentioning ‘antinatalist angst’ as one of her predicates did it for me.” on 2012-09-07
• Filipe said “Kate Evans’ blog, I mean.” on 2012-09-07
• Isaac said “http://aristosophy.tumblr.com/” on 2012-09-07
• muflax estimated 0% and said “No way.” on 2012-09-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2012-09-07
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2012-09-07
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 5% on 2012-09-07
• khafra estimated 10% and said “Not too familiar with Y’s writing style, but she favorites a lot of aristosophy’s tweets from her own twitter account.” on 2012-09-07
• drethelin estimated 1% and said “What would be the point? I don’t see a lot of tweets here that Sister Y couldn’t just post without needing a whole extra account” on 2012-09-07
• robsica estimated 0% and said “Two brilliantly oracular and quite distinct voices.” on 2012-09-07
• Will Newsome estimated 0% and said “test” on 2012-09-07
• zeropercent estimated 0% and said “Kate Evans is the Amina Arraf of Twitter rationalism” on 2012-09-08
• PseudonymousUser said ““I am not @aristosophy but she sometimes favorites my tweets, sorry haters <3” https://twitter.com/TheViewFromHell/status/244165828692570112” on 2012-09-09
• Filipe   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-09.
• Filipe said “per Sister Y’s twit, as linked by bobpage” on 2012-09-09