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I will win a Nobel Prize in literature in 40 years.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-08; known on 2052-09-08

  • gwern estimated 0% on 2012-09-08
  • gwern said “per Filipe in #lesswrongon 2012-09-08
  • Filipe estimated 0% and said “I was kidding .on 2012-09-08
  • Filipe said “gwern had just improvised a poem in #lw, and I made the obviously faux prediction.on 2012-09-08
  • Pablo estimated 0% on 2012-09-27
  • themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-10
  • pranomostro estimated 0% on 2018-12-08
  • Baeboo estimated 0% on 2018-12-12
  • Reinersaltaccount estimated 0% and said “#literatureon 2023-01-07