NYTimes: Paul Krugman will make a (charitably) testable prediction in an article next week 10th-16th

Created by William-Quixote on 2012-09-08; known on 2012-09-16; judged right by William-Quixote on 2012-09-20.

• William-Quixote estimated 20% on 2012-09-08
• gwern estimated 50% and said “Krugman actually makes a lot of predictions which are pretty easily judged; did you read that student project ranking pundit predictions?” on 2012-09-08
• William-Quixote said “I’m not familiar with that project, though it sounds like its worth checking out. I aimed low because I think Krugman makes his persuasive cases in the columns and usually puts his more data driven posts on his blog.” on 2012-09-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Per Gwern” on 2012-09-08
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2012-09-09
• William-Quixote   judged this prediction right on 2012-09-20.