My extortionist will reply at all.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-10; known on 2012-10-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-10-10.

• gwern estimated 65% on 2012-09-10
• gwern said “Background: https://plus.google.com/103530621949492999968/posts/5p1G9CZPBxR I think he will because it should be safe via tormail.org, and the temptation would be too great.” on 2012-09-10
• tedks estimated 40% on 2012-09-13
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-10.