My extortionist will reply and attempt a different extortion.
- gwern estimated 35% on 2012-09-10
- gwern said “https://plus.google.com/103530621949492999968/posts/5p1G9CZPBxR if it didn’t work the first time, why would it work elsewhere?” on 2012-09-10
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-10.
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