2017: Numerous companies develop different vaccination techniques for HIV.

Created by jarlathhealy on 2012-09-17; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• jarlathhealy estimated 95% on 2012-09-17
• jarlathhealy estimated 95% and said “These vaccinations will be available for the most “at risk” individuals. The reasoning for different vaccinations come at a cost of mutations in the strains. Not a ‘single’ vaccine will work on every persons immune system.” on 2012-09-17
• gwern estimated 20% and said “how many is numerous?” on 2012-09-18
• RandomThinker estimated 35% and said “Hard enuf to develop 1. Also hard to get multiple vaccines approved” on 2012-09-18
• RandomThinker said “Even harder for multiple companies to get vaccines approved. 1 company getting multiple vaccines might be slightly easier.” on 2012-09-18
• jarlathhealy changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-09-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 29% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2018-12-08
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.