2019: HIV is able to be thrown into remission in HIV+ individuals carrying the HIV-1 strain, only. Further research is needed for HIV-2.

Created by jarlathhealy on 2012-09-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.

• jarlathhealy estimated 90% on 2012-09-17
• gwern said “in what, lab prototypes?” on 2012-09-18
• jarlathhealy changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-09-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10
• Bruno Parga estimated 10% on 2019-01-01
• Bruno Parga said “I say the wording of the prediction suggests this happens somewhat routinely. There have been only two cases, 12 years apart (https://cutt.ly/QryxAbV)); I’d say the prediction is unfortunately wrong.” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.