The Ouya video game console will be shipped & delivered in March 2013, on schedule.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-18; known on 2013-04-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-04-30.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2012-09-18
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ouya http://www.kickstarter.com/projects/ouya/ouya-a-new-kind-of-video-game-console http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2012/08/09/with-ouya-funded-what-should-its-investors-expect/” on 2012-09-18
• gwern estimated 0% and said “where delivery here means a delivery of a fully functional Ouya to any ordinary Kickstarter backer (as opposed to press, bloggers, people connected to the company etc)” on 2012-09-18
• gwern estimated 15% and said “dammit. ‘any’, since it could take a very long time to ship that many units” on 2012-09-18
• RandomThinker estimated 25% on 2012-09-19
• Jach estimated 10% on 2012-09-19
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 30% on 2012-09-19
• Qiaochu estimated 0% and said “Wikipedia currently says June. ” on 2013-03-17
• ShIxtan estimated 0% on 2013-04-30
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-04-30.